Tuesday, September 04, 2007

Renters Not Escaping the Mortgage Meltdown

From USA Today, there's word that the mortgage meltdown (correction) isn't just affecting the homeowners, but those who are in the rental market are feeling the pain as well:


Already, one in four renters are paying more than half their income on rent — the highest level in at least two decades — according to a study being released Thursday by the Center for Housing Policy. That's up from one in five renters in 1997.


As a renter, all I can say is "Yay, just great.." I personally have locked in my rental rate for the next two years, but I can definitely see it happening. My rent went up about 15% over last year, which did put a significant dent in my budgeting. "Well," you make ask yourself, "How would it affect me, in the future?"


Rents are projected to rise about 4% this year and next. In part, that's because of a shortfall in apartment construction. At the same time, more renters are renewing their leases because they can't qualify for a mortgage. And rising foreclosures are turning some homeowners back into tenants.


I think this 4% number is a bit low. As the mortgage industry continues to shake out those who made a poor choice by buying homes too soon, people will move into rental units in larger numbers. I've also spoken against a bailouts for Wall Street, lenders, and homeowners alike--and actually in support of foreclosed homeowners downgrading to rental units until they can get back on their feet.

I know there are those who may disagree, but I think it definitely will go a long way in preventing this debacle again. What happened is Wall Street took sub-prime mortgage lender debt which are comprised of and sold it on the world markets--often with AAA ratings (meaning that the loans were guaranteed on the same level as the US Treasury). Then, they were astonished when the borrowers, many who weren't saving and overusing credit couldn't pay the lenders, and of course the lenders bombed (and so did Wall Street, at least until they got their bailout).

Long story short--unless you locked in a fixed rate as a homeowner, you may feel the burn of the sub-prime correction until it shakes out. Renters should brace for impact--it won't hurt as much as homeowners feel, but you'll feel it nevertheless.

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